New triage method for abnormal cervical cancer screening
There are several problems with current triage management for cervical cancer screening: (1) as the main triage method for HR-HPV-positive result, cytology should meet certain quality assurance standards. It has been reported that the specificity of cytology to detect CIN2+ can reach more than 90%, but the sensitivity ranges from 53% to 90%.10 16 The cytology detection rate for cervical cancer varies among different populations and is dependent on the level of training of medical staff. Therefore, it is especially important to strengthen cytology technical training for relevant personnel. (2) Using HR-HPV detection as a triage test for ASC-US results in a specificity of 70%, meaning 30% of women may receive false positives.30 (3) Due to the uneven quality of colposcopy skill across China,31 the false negative rate is as high as 13%–69%.32 The current quality and capacity of colposcopy are insufficient to meet the demand for referral after large-scale cervical cancer screening, which may result in missed diagnoses in high-risk groups.
Therefore, it is necessary to have an additional reflex triage test to improve the detection rate of precancerous lesions and reduce the number of colposcopic referrals. In recent years, several new detection technologies have emerged in China and abroad, showing promising clinical application prospects. These include p16/Ki-67 dual stain (DS), host gene and/or HPV gene methylation detection, HPV extended genotyping, HPV gene integration detection, etc. Due to limited data on ASC-US population triage, the following triage methods are mainly targeted at populations with a positive HPV primary screening result.
p16/Ki-67 DS detection
p16/Ki-67 DS is a detection method based on immunocytochemistry, targeting p16 and Ki-67 proteins. P16 is a tumour suppressor protein that participates in cell cycle regulation, usually as an anticell proliferation agent, and Ki-67 is a marker of cell proliferation. Multiple studies have shown that the simultaneous expression of p16 and Ki-67 proteins in the same cell is highly correlated with a persistent HR-HPV infection and the occurrence of CIN2/CIN3.33 34 A prospective cohort study that monitored HR-HPV-positive women for 5 years showed that DS was more accurate than cytology in determining the risk of cervical cancer.34 The 2012 and 2015 KPNC and IMPACT cohort studies33–35 showed that for women with HPV-positive test without genotyping or those other 12 HR-HPV or cotesting with HPV-positive results (no genotyping or 12 HR-HPV) when the cytology result shows NILM, ASC-US and LSIL, the risks for HPV-positive/DS-positive exceeded the colposcopy threshold, while DS-negative women were below the 1-year follow-up threshold.
In March 2024, the ASCCP recommended that DS is acceptable for triage of HPV-positive and cotest results.36 In addition, the results of a meta-analysis showed that DS was less sensitive but more specific for CIN2/CIN3 detection than HR-HPV primary screening for patients with ASC-US/LSIL cytology.37 However, whether to use DS to triage the abnormal cytology in clinical settings still needs further evidence from large-scale, prospective research studies with a long-term follow-up.
In China, some studies have shown that p16 immune cell staining alone or in combination with HPV genotyping can be used as a triage tool in HPV-positive women.38 The combination of positive p16 staining and nuclear changes demonstrates high sensitivity (95.18%) and acceptable specificity (85.03%) for identifying CIN2+ lesions in women with ASC-US. Additionally, DS is simple to operate and easy to interpret,39 making it promising for clinical application.
Recommendations: (1) DS is acceptable for triage of HPV-positive test results without genotyping or other 12 HR-HPV, colposcopy is recommended for individuals testing HPV positive and DS positive, and 1-year return is recommended for individuals testing HPV positive and DS negative. (2) In a cotesting screening, DS is acceptable for triage of HR-HPV without genotyping or other 12 HR-HPV-positive tests with cytologic NILM ASC-US or LSIL. If DS is positive, direct referral to colposcopy is recommended; if negative, 1-year follow-up is recommended. It is recommended to use p16/Ki-67 DS, which has been approved by authoritative institutions and clinically validated for HR-HPV-positive population triage (recommendation level: 2A, figure 4).
Management of p16/Ki-67 dual stain triage in cervical cancer screening. DS, dual stain; ASC-US, atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance; HR-HPV, high-risk human papillomavirus; NILM, negative for intraepithelial lesion or malignancy; LSIL, low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions.
DNA methylation test
DNA methylation is an epigenetic change that adds methyl groups to specific cytosines, generating 5-methylcytosine under the catalysis of DNA methyltransferase, thus affecting DNA transcription.40 Tumourigenesis is highly associated with transcriptional inactivation of tumour suppressor genes caused by methylation of CpG and with the demethylation of the genome.41 Therefore, the detection of methylation in key genes can be used as a triage method for cervical cancer.
It has been confirmed that the high methylation levels of multiple genes are highly associated with cervical HSIL and cervical cancer.42 43 An extensive clinical research study in Chinese women indicates that PAX1 methylation testing is highly accurate for detecting CIN3+44 and has greater sensitivity for CIN2+ compared with cytology and HPV16/18 genotyping.45 Methylation testing of genes PAX1, ZNF582, SOX1, JAM3, ASTN1, DLX1, ITGA4, RXFP3, SOX17 and ZNF671, either individually or in combination, demonstrates good specificity in detecting CIN3+ in HPV-positive women. This approach can reduce the colposcopy referral rate, avoiding overtreatment and unnecessary anxiety for patients.45–49 Genes studied in cervical cancer methylation research, such as FAM19A4/miR1242 methylation50 and S5 classifiers (which combines HPV16/18/31/33 methylation and human EPB41L3 methylation),51 have also demonstrate high sensitivity and specificity for detecting high-grade lesions.
Studies suggest that DNA methylation testing offers higher specificity than HR-HPV testing when used for ASC-US triage.52–54 However, the clinical significance of current studies on using methylation for triaging cytologic ASC-US remains relatively limited.
Recommendations: in HR-HPV primary screening, the methylation test can be used to triage other 12 HR-HPV-positive women, thereby reducing colposcopy referral rates. It is recommended to use a methylation reagent that has been approved by authoritative institutions and clinically validated for HR-HPV-positive population triage (recommendation level: 2B)
HPV extended genotyping test
HPV extended genotyping refers to the detection of individual types or grouped related types of the other 12 HR-HPV types in addition to the genotyping of HPV16 and 18. Evidence shows that the risk of cervical precancerous lesions and invasive cancer varies depending on the specific HPV type, and this risk also differs across different countries and regions.55 The International Agency for Research on Cancer classified the carcinogenicity of HR-HPV into four groups based on their prevalence in cervical cancer and the cumulative risk of CIN3+: (1) HPV16 is the highest risk, (2) HPV18/45 are high risk, (3) HPV33/31/52/58/35 are moderate risk and (4) the other, HPV39/51/59/56/68 are low risk.56 57 Extended genotyping provides additional risk stratification by identifying other HR-HPV types beyond HPV16/18. When using methods recognised by domestic and international authorities and validated by clinical trials, other 12 HR-HPV types can be further stratified to guide clinical management decisions.
ASCCP recently released an enduring guideline58 on the application of HPV extended genotyping based on clinical cohort data. The guideline categorises HR-HPV types into three groups for better clinical management: (1) high risk: HPV16/18, patients with these types are recommended for direct referral to colposcopy; (2) medium risk: HPV31/33/35/45/58/52/39/68/51. For these types, further risk stratification is required to determine whether colposcopy referral is necessary; (3) low risk: HPV56/59/66 and no other carcinogenic types. For women with these genotypes, repeat HPV testing in 1 year is recommended. A random effects model in China showed that HPV16/18/58/33/31 positivity is associated with a higher risk of CIN3+, reaching the colposcopy referral threshold.6 Another prospective multicentre cohort study showed that HPV 31/33/56/68 are considered high-risk groups, and colposcopy referral is recommended when cytology results are ASC-US. HPV 35/59 are considered low-risk groups, and follow-up using an HR-HPV test can be chosen when cytology results are NILM/ASC-US/LSIL.59 Comparing the data from the above-mentioned domestic and international clinical studies, it is found that the risk grouping based on HPV extended genotyping is inconsistent across different studies, which may be related to the varying sources of study populations from different countries and regions.57
A Chinese study that compared HR-HPV primary screening with cytological triage versus extended genotyping showed that the latter had higher specificity for detecting CIN3+ (99.13% vs 98.41% for cytological triage). Additionally, extended typing presented a higher positive predictive value (26.80% vs 15.69%), meaning it was more accurate in predicting the presence of CIN3+ among those who tested positive. Most importantly, the study also found that using extended genotyping resulted in a 41% reduction in colposcopy referrals.59 Another cross-sectional study in China concluded that extended genotyping for HPV16/18/31/33/45 is as sensitive and specific as cytology for CIN3+ detection.60 For the women with ASC-US, HPV16/18/31/33/58 extended genotyping significantly improves the specificity of CIN2+ detection and significantly reduces the colposcopy referral rate.61
The above results suggest that the extended genotyping detection could improve risk stratification for HPV-positive women, reducing missed diagnoses and preventing overdiagnosis and overtreatment. However, more clinical studies, particularly in the Chinese population, are needed to validate these findings.
HPV gene integration detection
HPV gene integration refers to the process in which viral oncogenes E6/E7 are incorporated into the genomic DNA sequence of the host cervical epithelial cells after HPV infection. This process is a key molecular basis for the progression of cervical cancer caused by persistent HPV infection.62–65 During the progression from cervical precancerous lesions to invasive cervical cancer, the incidence of HPV gene integration increases significantly.66–69 By using liquid-phase capture technology to enrich HPV viral genes and related integration site DNA fragments, followed by high-throughput sequencing to perform large-scale parallel sequencing of these fragments, the integration status of HPV and the specific integration sites can be accurately detected.
A cohort study involving 12 000 participants, with 4611 completing 5-year follow-up, showed that compared with cytology-based triage, HPV gene integration had similar sensitivity and negative predictive value for detecting CIN3+, but with higher specificity and a lower colposcopy referral rate.70
A cohort study involving 1,393 HPV-infected individuals from hospital-based opportunistic screening also showed that, compared with traditional cytology, HPV gene integration had similar sensitivity and higher specificity for detecting CIN3+. Notably, women who were negative for HPV gene integration (90.1%) had an immediate risk of 2.2% (based on the 2019 ASCCP risk assessment parameters), which was not only below the colposcopy referral threshold but also lower than that of women with normal cytology (3.3%). Additionally, the risk of disease progression during a 1-year follow-up was significantly lower in these women compared with those who were positive for HPV gene integration.71 Positive HPV gene integration (9.9%) is associated with an immediate risk of CIN3+ >25% (48.6%), with positive HPV 16/18 integration having an immediate risk of CIN3+ at 56.5%.71 Therefore, individuals who are HPV gene integration positive, especially those with HPV 16/18 types, should be given serious attention. More thorough colposcopy and a histological evaluation should be performed, and diagnostic excisional procedure should be considered if necessary to confirm the diagnosis and reduce colposcopy misdiagnosis. Thus, HPV gene integration testing has significant risk-stratification value in the HPV-positive population. It can help identify higher-risk patients in the HPV 16/18 population and, for low-risk groups, reduce unnecessary colposcopy referrals.
Recommendations: HPV gene integration testing can be used for triaging primary HR-HPV-positive individuals, regardless of genotype. Those who are integration-positive are recommended to be referred for colposcopy, while those who are integration negative could be followed up after 1 year. HPV gene integration testing can also be used for risk stratification. Integration-positive individuals, particularly those who are HPV 16/18 positive, should be considered high risk and require comprehensive colposcopy and histological evaluation, with diagnostic conisation performed if necessary to confirm the diagnosis. It is recommended to use gene integration reagent that has been approved by authoritative institutions and clinically validated for HR-HPV-positive population triage (recommendation level: 2B)
HPV load testing
The purpose of HPV viral load testing is to quantify the extent of viral infection to some degree. In a report in 2019, the correlation between HR-HPV viral load and cervical precancerous lesions was highlighted, particularly for genotypes in the A9 group family associated with HPV 16, including HPV 16/31/33/52/58.72 Research has shown significant differences in HR-HPV viral load between CIN2+ and CIN1, and the combination of HPV 31/33/52/58 genotypes with viral load improves the specificity of screening.73 Another study also found that the CT value of HR-HPV based on PCR and isothermal amplification demonstrated good triage performance in HPV-positive populations.74 The French ‘National Cervical Cancer Screening Guidelines’75 and the European ‘Cervical Cancer Screening Position’76 also indicate that the HPV-specific viral load is a risk quantification marker that helps with triaging HPV-positive patients. However, further research is needed to confirm this, ensuring that the viral load is measured after adjusting for the number of cells in the sample. Due to the lack of a unified international quantitative standard and the variable relationship between viral load and clinical manifestations, the complexity of quantitative testing has increased. The exact value of HPV viral load testing in triage management remains controversial,76 77 and more clinical evidence is needed in the future.
Other detection methods
Other cervical lesion detection methods, such as real-time detection systems,78 79 inherent fluorescence cervical lesion diagnostic device80 and cervical cancer detection device,81 are currently primarily in the clinical research stage and require further accumulation of evidence in clinical practice.